Papers in International Journals

• Alonso, Andres; Gabirondo, Peru; Scotto, Manuel (2024)  Clustering time series by extremal dependence . International Journal of Data Science and Analytics.

• Aknouche, Abdelhakim ; Scotto, Manuel (2024)  A multiplicative thinning-based integer-valued GARCH model . Journal of Time Series Analysis: 45, 4-26.

• Martins, Ana; Scotto, Manuel; Weiss, Christian; Gouveia, Sonia (2023)  Space-time integer-valued ARMA modelling for time series of counts . Electronic Journal of Statistics: 17, 3472-3511.

• Scotto, Manuel; Gouveia, Sónia (2023)  On the extremes of the max-INAR(1) process for time series of counts . Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods: 52, 1136-1154.

• Barbosa, Susana ; Scotto, Manuel (2022)  Extreme heat events in the Iberia Peninsula from extreme value mixture modeling of ERA5-Land air temperature . Weather and Climate Extremes: 36, 100448.

• Mamode Khan, Naushad; Bakouch, Hassan ; Devi Soobhug, Ashwinee; Scotto, Manuel (2021)  Insights on the trend of the novel coronavirus 2019 series in some small island developing states: a thinning-based modelling approach. . Alexandria Engineering Journal: 60, 2535-2550.

• Santos, Cláudia; Pereira, Isabel; Scotto, Manuel (2021)  On the theory of periodic multivariate INAR processes . Statistical Papers: 62, 1291-1348.

• Silveira, Carlos; Martins, Ana; Gouveia, Sónia; Scotto, Manuel; Miranda, Ana I.; Monteiro, Alexandra (2021)  The role of the atmospheric aerosol in weather forecasts for the Iberian peninsula: investigating the direct effects using WRF-Chem model . Atmosphere: 12, 288.

• Martins, Ana; Scotto, Manuel; Deus, Ricardo; Monteiro, Alexandra; Gouveia, Sónia (2021)  Association between respiratory hospital admissions and air quality in Portugal: A count time series approach . PLoS ONE: 16(7), e0253455.

• Monteiro, Magda; Pereira, Isabel; Scotto, Manuel (2021)  Bivariate models for time series of counts: a comparison study between PBINAR models and dynamic factor models . Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation: 50, 1873-1887.

• Franzke, C.; Barbosa, S. ; Blender, R.; Fredriksen, H.-B.; Laepple, T.; Lambert, F.; Nilsen, T.; Rypdal, K.; Rypdal, M.; Scotto, Manuel; Vannitsem, S.; Watkins, N.; Yang, L. ; Yuan, N. (2020)  The structure of climate variability across scales . Reviews of Geophysics: 80, e2019RG000657 1-44.

• Oliveira, M.A.; Scotto, Manuel; Barbosa, S.M.; Freire de Andrade, C.; Freitas, M.C. (2020)  Morphological controls and statistical modelling of boulder transport by extreme storms . Marine Geology: 426, 106216.

• Martins, Ana; Rafael, Sandra; Monteiro, Alexandra; Scotto, Manuel; Gouveia, Sónia (2019)  Euro-Cordex regional projection models: what kind of agreement for Europe? . Mathematical Geosciences: 51, 1021-1035.

• Rocha, Diana; Gouveia, Sónia; Pinto, Carla; Scotto, Manuel; Tavares, João Nuno; Valadas, Emília; Caldeira, Luís Filipe (2019)  On the parameters estimation of HIV dynamic models . Revstat - Statistical Journal: 17, 209-222.

• Scotto, Manuel; Weiss, Christian H.; Moller, Tobias A.; Gouveia, Sónia (2018)  The Max-INAR(1) model for count processes . Test: 27, 850-870.

• Weiss, Christian H.; Scotto, Manuel; Moller, Tobias A.; Gouveia, Sonia (2018)  The max-BARMA models for counts with bounded support . Statistics and Probability Letters: 143, 28-36.

• Monteiro, Alexandra; Gouveia, Sónia; Scotto, Manuel; Sorte, Sandra; Gama, Carla; Gianelle, Vorne; Colombi, Cristina; Alves, Célia (2018)  Investigating PM10 episodes using levoglucosan as tracer . Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health: 11, 61-68.

• Gouveia, Sónia; Moller, Tobias A.; Weiss, Christian H.; Scotto, Manuel (2018)  A full ARMA model for counts with bounded support and its application to rainy-days time series . Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment: 32, 2495-2514.

• Gouveia, Sónia; Scotto, Manuel; Weiss, Christian H.; Ferreira, Paulo J.S.G.  (2017)  Binary autoregressive geometric modelling in a DNA context . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C: 66, 253-271.

• Moller, Tobias A.; Silva, Maria Eduarda ; Weiss, Christian H.; Scotto, Manuel; Pereira, Isabel (2016)  Self-exciting threshold binomial autoregressive processes . AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis: 100, 369-400.

• Cruz, Ana M. J.; Alves, Célia A.; Gouveia, Sónia; Scotto, Manuel; Freitas, Maria do Carmo; Wolterbeek, Hubert Th. (2016)  A wavelet-based approach applied to suspended particulate matter time series in Portugal . Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health: 9, 847–859.

• Barbosa, Susana M. ; Gouveia, Sónia ; Scotto, Manuel; Alonso, Andrés M. (2016)  Wavelet-based clustering of sea level records . Mathematical Geosciences: 48, 149-162.

• Macedo, Pedro; Scotto, Manuel; Silva, Elvira (2016)  Regularization with maximum entropy and quantum electrodynamics: the MERG(E) estimators . Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation: 45, 1143-1157.

• Monteiro, Alexandra ; Gouveia, Sónia ; Scotto, Manuel; Lopes, Joaquim; Feliciano, Manuel; Miranda, Ana Isabel  (2016)  Investigating ozone episodes in Portugal: a wavelet-based approach . Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health: 9, 775-783.

• Gouveia, Sónia; Scotto, Manuel; Monteiro, Alexandra; Alonso, Andrés M.  (2015)  Wavelets-based clustering of air quality monitoring sites. . Environmental Monitoring and Assessment: 187:694, 1-14.

• Gouveia, Sónia ; Scotto, Manuel; Pinna, Gian Domenico; Maestri, Roberto; La Rovere, Maria Teresa ; Ferreira, Paulo J.S.G.  (2015)  Spontaneous baroreflex sensitivity for risk stratification of heart failure patients: optimal cutoff and age effects. . Clinical Science: 129, 1163-1172.

• Scotto, Manuel; Christian H. Weiss; Sónia Gouveia (2015)  Thinning-based models in the analysis of integer-valued time series: a review . Statistical Modelling: 15, 590-618.

• Ribeiro, Andreia; Barbosa, Susana M. ; Scotto, Manuel; Donner, Reik V.  (2014)  Changes in extreme sea-levels in the Baltic sea . Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography: 66, 20921.

• Scotto, Manuel; Gouveia, Sónia ; Carvalho, Anabela; Monteiro, Alexandra; Martins, Vera; Flannigan, Mike D.; San-Miguel-Ayanz, Jesus; Miranda, Ana Isabel; Borrego, Carlos  (2014)  Area burned in Portugal over recent decades: an extreme value analysis . International Journal of Wildland Fire: 23, 812-824.

• Scotto, Manuel; Weiss, Christian H.; Silva, Maria Eduarda; Pereira, Isabel (2014)  Bivariate binomial autoregressive models . Journal of Multivariate Analysis: 125, 233-251.

• Macedo, Pedro; Scotto, Manuel (2014)  Cross-entropy estimation in technical efficiency analysis. . Journal of Mathematical Economics: 54, 124–130.

• Alonso, Andrés M.; de Zea Bermudez, Patricia; Scotto, Manuel (2014)  Comparing Generalized Pareto models fitted to extreme observations: an application to the largest temperatures in Spain . Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment: 28, 1221-1233.

• Macedo, Pedro; Silva, Elvira; Scotto, Manuel (2014)  Technical efficiency with state-contingent production frontiers using maximum entropy estimators . Journal of Productivity Analysis: 41, 131-140.

• Scotto, Manuel; Barbosa, Susana M. ; Alonso, Andrés M. (2013)  Extreme-based clustering of environmental time series . Boletín de Estadística e Investigación Operativa: 29, 92-102.

• Almeida, Vânia; de Carvalho, Mamede; Scotto, Manuel; Pinto, Susana; Pinto, Anabela; Ohana, Benjamim; Swash, Michael (2013)  Primary lateral sclerosis: predicting functional outcome . Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis and Frontotemporal Degeneration: 14, 141-145.

• Barczy, Mátyás ; Ispány, Márton ; Pap, Gyula ; Scotto, Manuel; Silva, Maria Eduarda (2012)  Additive outliers in INAR(1) models . Statistical Papers: 53, 935-949.

• Monteiro, Alexandra ; Carvalho, Anabela; Ribeiro, Isabel; Scotto, Manuel; Barbosa, Susana M.; Baldasano, José Maria; Pay, Maria Teresa; Miranda, Ana Isabel; Borrego, Carlos  (2012)  Trends in ozone concentrations in the Iberian Peninsula by quantile regression and clustering . Atmospheric Environment: 56, 184-193.

• Monteiro, Magda; Scotto, Manuel; Pereira, Isabel (2012)  Integer-valued self-exciting threshold autoregressive processes . Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods: 41, 2717-273.

• Pegas, Priscila; Alves, Célia A.; Scotto, Manuel; Evtyugina, Margarita; Pio, Casimiro A.; Freitas, Maria do Carmo (2011)  Risk factors and prevalence of asthma and rhinitis among primary school children in Lisbon . Portuguese Journal of Pulmonology: 17, 109-116.

• Scotto, Manuel; Barbosa, Susana M. ; Alonso, Andrés M. (2011)  Extreme value and cluster analysis of European daily temperature series . Journal of Applied Statistics: 38, 2793-2804.

• Barbosa, Susana M. ; Scotto, Manuel; Alonso, Andrés M. (2011)  Summarising changes in air temperature over Europe by quantile regression and clustering . Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences: 11, 3227-3233.

• Costa, Conceição; Scotto, Manuel; Pereira, Isabel (2010)  Optimal alarm systems for FIAPARCH processes . Revstat: 8, 37-55.

• Macedo, Pedro; Scotto, Manuel; Silva, Elvira (2010)  On the choice of the ridge parameter: a maximum entropy approach . Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation: 39, 1628-1638.

• Alves, Célia; Scotto, Manuel; Freitas, Maria do Carmo (2010)  Air pollution and emergency admissions for cardiorespiratory diseases in Lisbon (Portugal) . Química Nova: 33, 337-344.

• Scotto, Manuel; Alonso, Andrés M.; Barbosa, Susana M. (2010)  Clustering time series of sea levels: extreme value approach . Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal, and Ocean Engineering: 136, 215-225.

• Hall, Andreia; Scotto, Manuel; Cruz, João  (2010)  Extremes of integer-valued moving average sequences . Test: 19, 359-374.

• Barczy, Mátyás ; Ispány, Márton ; Pap, Gyula ; Scotto, Manuel; Silva, Maria Eduarda (2010)  Innovational outliers in INAR(1) models . Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods: 39, 3343-3362.

• Monteiro, Magda; Scotto, Manuel; Pereira, Isabel (2010)  Integer-valued autoregressive processes with periodic structure . Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference: 140, 1529-1541.

• Macedo, Pedro; Scotto, Manuel; Silva, Elvira (2010)  A general class of estimators for the linear regression model affected by collinearity and outliers . Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation: 39, 981-993.

• Scotto, Manuel; Barbosa, Susana M. ; Alonso, Andrés M. (2009)  Model-based clustering of Baltic sea-level . Applied Ocean Research: 31, 4-11.

• Hall, Andreia; Scotto, Manuel (2008)  On the extremes of randomly sub-sampled time series . Revstat: 6, 151-164.

• Monteiro, Magda; Pereira, Isabel; Scotto, Manuel (2008)  Optimal alarm systems for count processes . Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods: 37, 3054-3076.

• Conceição, Isabel M.; Castro, José M.; Scotto, Manuel; de Carvalho, Mamede (2008)  Neurophysiological markers in familial amyloid polyneuropathy patients: early changes . Clinical Neurophysiology: 119, 1082-1087.

• Scotto, Manuel (2007)  Extremes for solutions to stochastic difference equations with regularly varying tails . Revstat: 5, 229-247.

• Scotto, Manuel (2007)  On the extremes of a class of non-linear processes with heavy tailed innovations . Nonlinear Analysis: Theory, Methods & Applications: 67, 2012-2023.

• de Carvalho, Mamede; Scotto, Manuel; Swash, Michael (2007)  Clinical patterns in progressive muscular atrophy (PMA): a prospective study . Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis: 8, 296-299.

• Scotto, Manuel; Guedes Soares, Carlos (2007)  Bayesian inference for long-term prediction of significant wave height . Coastal Engineering: 54, 393-400.

• Hall, Andreia; Scotto, Manuel (2006)  Extremes of periodic integer-valued sequences with exponential type tails . Revstat: 4, 249-273.

• Pereira, Isabel; Scotto, Manuel (2006)  On the non-negative first-order exponential bilinear time series model . Statistics & Probability Letters: 76, 931-938.

• Scotto, Manuel (2005)  Extremes of a class of deterministic sub-sampled processes with applications to stochastic difference equations . Stochastic Processes and their Applications: 115, 417-434.

• Tobías, Aurelio; Scotto, Manuel (2005)  Prediction of extreme ozone levels in Barcelona, Spain . Environmental Monitoring & Assessment: 100, 23-32.

• Scotto, Manuel; Turkman, Kamil F. (2005)  Extremes of Volterra series expansions with heavy-tailed innovations . Nonlinear Analysis: Theory, Methods & Applications: 63, 106-122.

• de Carvalho, Mamede; Scotto, Manuel; Lopes, Arminda; Swash, Michael (2005)  Quantitating progression in ALS . Neurology: 64, 1783-178.

• Guedes Soares, Carlos; Scotto, Manuel (2004)  Application of the r-largest order statistics for long-term predictions of significant wave height . Coastal Engineering: 51, 387-394.

• Hall, Andreia; Scotto, Manuel; Ferreira, Helena (2004)  On the extremal behaviour of generalised periodic sub-sampled moving average models with regularly varying tails . Extremes: 7, 149-160.

• de Carvalho, Mamede; Scotto, Manuel; Lopes, Arminda; Swash, Michael (2003)  Clinical and neurophysiological evaluation of the clinical progression in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis . Muscle & Nerve: 28, 630-633.

• Scotto, Manuel (2003)  A note on the asymptotic distribution of the maxima in disaggregated time series models . Statistics & Probability Letters: 65, 127-137.

• Hall, Andreia; Scotto, Manuel (2003)  Extremes of sub-sampled integer-valued moving average models with heavy-tailed innovations . Statistics & Probability Letters: 63, 97-105.

• Scotto, Manuel; Ferreira, Helena (2003)  Extremes of deterministic sub-sampled moving averages with heavy-tailed innovation . Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry: 19, 303-313.

• Scotto, Manuel; Turkman, Kamil F.; Anderson, Clive W. (2003)  Extremes of some sub-sampled time series . Journal of Time Series Analysis: 24, 579-590.

• Ferreira, Helena; Scotto, Manuel (2002)  On the asymptotic location of high values of a stationary sequence . Statistics & Probability Letters: 60, 475-482.

• de Carvalho, Mamede; Scotto, Manuel; Lopes, Arminda; Swash, Michael (2002)  F-waves and the corticospinal lesion in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis . Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis: 3, 131-136.

• Scotto, Manuel; Turkman, Kamil F. (2002)  On the extremal behavior of sub-sampled solutions of stochastic difference equations . Portugaliae Mathematica: 59, 267-283.

• Guedes Soares, Carlos; Scotto, Manuel (2001)  Modelling uncertainty in long-term predictions of significant wave height . Ocean Engineering: 28, 329-342.

• de Carvalho, Mamede; Lopes, Arminda; Scotto, Manuel; Swash, Michael (2001)  Reproducibility of neurophysiological and myometric measurement in the ulnar nerve-abductor digiti minimi system . Muscle & Nerve: 24, 1391-1395.

• Scotto, Manuel; Guedes Soares, Carlos (2000)  Modelling the long-term time series of significant wave height with non-linear threshold models . Coastal Engineering: 40, 313-327.

Books

• Turkman, Kamil, F.; Scotto, Manuel; de Zea Bermudez, Patricia (2014)  Non-Linear Time Series: Extreme Events and Integer Value Problems . Springer & Verlag, ISBN 978-3-319-07027-8.

Papers or Chapters in Edited Books

• Rocha, Diana; Scotto, Manuel; Pinto, Carla; Tavares, João Nuno ; Gouveia, Sónia (2019)  Simulation study of HIV temporal patterns using Bayesian methodology. . In: Argiento R., Durante D., Wade S. (eds) Bayesian Statistics and New Generations. BAYSM 2018. Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, Springer, Cham: 296, 145-154.

• Santos, Cláudia; Pereira, Isabel; Scotto, Manuel (2019)  Periodic INAR(1) models with Skellam-distributed innovations . Misra S. et al. (eds) Computational Science and Its Applications – ICCSA 2019. ICCSA 2019. Lecture Notes in Computer Science. Springer, Cham: 11621, 64-78.

• Costa, Conceição; Pereira, Isabel; Scotto, Manuel (2018)  Surveillance in Discrete Time Series . Recent Studies on Risk Analysis and Statistical Modeling (T.A. Oliveira, C.P. Kitsos, A. Oliveira, L. Grilo, eds.) Springer International Publishing, ISBN: 978-3-319-76604-1, 197-212.

• Scotto, Manuel (2016)  O operador thinning na modelação de séries temporais de valores inteiros . Atas do XXII Congresso da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística: Estatística: Progressos e Aplicações, C. Cordeiro, C. Ribeiro, C. Sousa, M.H. Gonçalves, N. Antunes and M.E. Silva, eds., Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, 223-234.

• Costa, Conceição; Scotto, Manuel; Pereira, Isabel (2016)  Integer-valued APARCH processes . Time Series Analysis and Forecasting. Selected Contributions from the ITISE Conference. (I. Rojas and H. Pomares, eds.), Springer International Publishing, Switzerland. ISBN 978-3-319-28723-2, 189-202.

• Pereira, Isabel; Scotto, Manuel; Nicolette, Raquel (2015)  Integer-valued self-exciting periodic threshold autoregressive processes. . Contributions in Statistics and Inference. Celebrating Nazaré Mendes Lopes' Birthday. (E. Gonçalves, P.E. Oliveira and C. Tenreiro, eds.), Coimbra, Portugal. ISBN: 978-972-8564-51-3: 47, 81-92.

• Monteiro, Magda; Scotto, Manuel; Pereira, Isabel (2015)  A periodic bivariate integer-valued autoregressive model . Dynamics, Games and Science - International Conference. Advanced School Planet Earth DGS II (J.P. Bourguignon, R. Jelstch, A. Pinto, M. Viana, eds.), Springer, Switzerland. ISBN: 978-3-319-16117-4, 455-477.

• Gouveia, Sónia; Scotto, Manuel (2015)  On modelling RR tails in heart rate variability studies: an extreme value analysis . Computing in Cardiology ISBN 978-1-4799-4346-3: 42, 777-780.

• Guedes Soares, Carlos; Scotto, Manuel (2012)  Long term and extreme value models of wave data . Marine Technology and Engineering: CENTEC Anniversary Book (C. Guedes Soares, Y. Garbatov, N. Fonseca and A.P. Texeira, eds.), Vol. I, Taylor & Francis Group, London, ISBN 978-0-415-69808-5, 97-108.

• Scotto, Manuel; Barbosa, Susana M. ; Alonso, Andrés M. (2011)  Model-based clustering of extreme sea level heights . Sea Level Rise, Coastal Engineering, Shorelines and Tides. (L.L. Wright, ed.), Chapter 15. Nova Science Publishers, New York. ISBN 978-1-1728-655-1, 277-293.

• Monteiro, Magda; Pereira, Isabel; Scotto, Manuel (2009)  Inferência preditiva para modelos autoregressivos de valores inteiros com estrutura periódica . Estatística: a Arte de Explicar o Acaso - Actas do XVI Congresso da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, I. Oliveira, E. Correia, F. Ferreira, S. Dias and C.A. Braumann, eds., Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística: 445-456.

• Costa, Conceição; Scotto, Manuel; Pereira, Isabel (2009)  Sistemas de alarme óptimos para processos FIAPARCH . Estatística: a Arte de Explicar o Acaso - Actas do XVI Congresso da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, I. Oliveira, E. Correia, F. Ferreira, S. Dias and C.A. Braumann, eds., Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, 205-216.

• Scotto, Manuel; Barbosa, Susana M. ; Alonso, Andrés M. (2009)  Clustering time series measurements of Baltic sea-level . a Arte de Explicar o Acaso - Actas do XVI Congresso da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, I. Oliveira, E. Correia, F. Ferreira, S. Dias and C.A. Braumann, eds., Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, 625-632.

• Pereira, Isabel; Scotto, Manuel (2008)  Estimação em modelos bilineares com erros alfa-exponenciais . Estatística: da Teoria à Prática - Actas do XV Congresso da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, M. Magalhães Hill, M.A. Ferreira, J. Gonçalves Dias, M.F. Salgueiro, H. Carvalho, P. Vicente e C.A. Braumann, eds., Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatí, 425-436.

• Monteiro, Magda; Pereira, Isabel; Scotto, Manuel (2007)  Sistemas de alarme óptimos para processos de contagem DSINAR(1) . Estatística Ciência Interdisciplinar - Actas do XIV Congresso da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, M.E. Ferrão, C. Nunes and C.A. Braumann, eds., Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, 539-550.

• Scotto, Manuel; Hall, Andreia; Cruz, João  (2006)  Extremes of periodic integer-valued moving average sequences . Actas del XXIX Congreso Nacional de Estadística e Investigación Operativa (SEIO2006) ISBN: 8468985538, 707-716.

• Scotto, Manuel; Hall, Andreia (2006)  Estudio del comportamiento extremal de sucesiones periódicas . Actas del XXIX Congreso Nacional de Estadística e Investigación Operativa (SEIO2006) ISBN: 8468985538, 659-666.

• Neves, Cláudia; Scotto, Manuel; Guedes Soares, Carlos (2006)  On the statistical choice of extreme domains of attraction in long-term predictions of significant wave height . Proceedings of the 25th International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering ISBN: 0-7918-4748-9, 221-227.

• Pereira, Isabel; Silva, Maria Eduarda ; Scotto, Manuel (2005)  Sistemas de alarme óptimos para processos de contagem . Estatística Jubilar - Actas do XII Congresso da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, C.A. Braumann, P. Infante, M. Oliveira, R. Alpizar Jara and F. Rosado, eds., Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, 571-580.

• Hall, Andreia; Scotto, Manuel (2004)  Comportamento extremal em sucessões estacionárias sub-amostradas com padrão periódico . Estatística com Acaso e Necessidade - Actas do XI Congresso da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, P.M.M. Rodrigues, E. da Luz Rebelo and F. Rosado, eds., Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, 323-333.

• Pereira, Isabel; Scotto, Manuel (2004)  Estimação de parâmetros em modelos bilineares com erros exponenciais . Estatística com Acaso e Necessidade - Actas do XI Congresso da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, P.M.M. Rodrigues, E. da Luz Rebelo and F. Rosado, eds., Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, 605-613.

• Scotto, Manuel; Hall, Andreia (2003)  Extremes of transformations of stationary sequences: a unified approach . Proceedings of the 13th European Young Statisticians Meeting, 145-152.

• Hall, Andreia; Scotto, Manuel (2003)  Comportamento extremal em agregações associadas a modelos de médias móveis de variáveis aleatórias inteiras . Literacia e Estatística - Actas do X Congresso da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, P. Brito, A. Figueiredo, F. Sousa, P. Teles and F. Rosado, eds., Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, 337-344.

• Guedes Soares, Carlos; Ferreira, Ricardo G.; Scotto, Manuel (2003)  On the prediction of extreme values of significant wave heights . Proceedings of the 22th International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering ISBN: 0-7918-3682-7, 491-498.

• Scotto, Manuel; Hall, Andreia; Ferreira, Helena (2003)  Estudio del comportamiento extremal de transformaciones asociadas a medias móviles . Actas del XXVII Congreso Nacional de Estadística e Investigación Operativa (SEIO2003) ISBN:, 1979-200.

• Anderson, Clive W.; Scotto, Manuel; Turkman, Kamil F. (1999)  Estudo do comportamento extremal em agregações associadas a modelos de médias móveis . Um Olhar sobre a Estatística - Actas do VII Congresso da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, P. Oliveira and E. Athayde, eds., Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, 280-29.

• Guedes Soares, Carlos; Scotto, Manuel; Cavaco, Patrícia (1998)  Linear and non-linear models of long-term time series of wave data . Proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering, 7 pp.

• Scotto, Manuel; Turkman, Kamil F. (1997)  Métodos de estimação em modelos bilineares . Estatística: A Diversidade na Unidade - Actas do V Congresso da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, M. Souto Miranda and I. Pereira, eds., 515-521.

Communications in Conference Proceedings

• Santos, Cláudia; Pereira, Isabel; Scotto, Manuel (2018)  Multivariate INAR processes - Periodic case . International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting (ITISE) 2018, Proceedings of Paper: 2, 997-1008.

• Rocha, Diana; Gouveia, Sónia; Pinto, Carla; Scotto, Manuel; Tavares, J.N.; Valadas, E.; Caldeira, L.F. (2018)  On the parameters estimation of HIV dynamic models . Proceedings of the III Encontro Luso-Galaico de Biometria, M. Monteiro, A. Freitas, L. Teixeira and M. Costa, eds., 57-60.

Edition of Books

• Pereira, Isabel; Freitas, Adelaide; Scotto, Manuel; Silva, Maria Eduarda; Paulino, Carlos Daniel (Eds) (2015)  Estatística: a Ciência da Incerteza . Atas do XXI Congresso da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística. Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, 2014, ISBN 978-972-8890-35-3.

Papers in National Scientific Journals

• Scotto, Manuel (2019)  Introdução à teoria dos operadores thinning na modelação de séries temporais de valores inteiros . Boletim de Primavera da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, 12-21.

• Scotto, Manuel; Barbosa, Susana M.  (2016)  Agrupamento de séries temporais e sua aplicação na análise de processos geofísicos e ambientais . Boletim de Primavera da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, 75-85.

• Sendão, Marta Alexandra; Alves, Célia A.; Scotto, Manuel; Freitas, Maria do Carmo (2009)  Impacto da poluição atmosférica na saúde da população residente em Lisboa . Tecnologia do Ambiente: 92, 46-48.

• Scotto, Manuel (2009)  Investigação (em) Estatística: GPE-Universidade de Aveiro . Boletim da Sociedade Portuguesa de Estatística, 22-23.

• Scotto, Manuel; Tobías, Aurelio (2003)  Interpretando correctamente en salud pública estimaciones puntuales, intervalos de confianza y contrastes de hipótesis . Salud Pública de México: 43, 506-511.